Market Analysis

Every year on May 22, the cryptocurrency community commemorates a unique and historic event known as Bitcoin Pizza Day. While it might sound casual or even humorous, this day marks one of the most significant moments in the history of Bitcoin and digital currencies: a moment that symbolizes Bitcoin's transition from a niche experiment to a tangible medium of exchange.
Gold prices surged nearly 2% on Tuesday as safe-haven demand returned amid a weaker US dollar and ongoing geopolitical tension. Spot gold ended the day up 1.84% at $3,289.98 per ounce. Oil prices, meanwhile, closed slightly lower as market uncertainty lingered.
Platinum: ⬆️ Buy – Platinum broke the resistance level 1005.00 – Likely to rise to resistance level 1080.00
GBPUSD traded up to fresh highs for the year today on the back of the latest UK economic data this morning. Annualised headline CPI was seen jumping to 3.5% from 2.6% prior, above the 3.3% the market was looking for.
By Octa
- AUD/USD rises at the expense of the US Dollar, which is down due to the US credit rating downgrade. - US Republicans didn’t pass President Trump’s new tax bill. - The RBA lowered its OCR by 25 bps to 3.85% and kept hopes of more interest rate cuts on the table.
By EBC
Gold prices rose to a one-week high Wednesday as US fiscal uncertainty boosted safe-haven demand. Trump pressures Republicans to back his budget plan.
By EBC
Gold jumped above $3,300 as Trump’s budget hit GOP pushback. @Yiwangwuqian stayed steady; newcomer @12Emery hit third with a 22x return.
By EBC
Top traders showed discipline, seized gold reversals, and broke out with bold momentum plays in Week 11 of EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge.
Global financial markets on May 20, 2025, are driven by central bank actions and geopolitical developments, with focus on the RBA’s press conference post-rate cut, PBoC’s LPR reduction, and potential Russia-Ukraine ceasefire talks.
By EBC
EBC Million Dollar Trading Challenge II enters final phase with top traders cautious, while third place ramps up trades, intensifying competition.
US Equity Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities 19 May 2025 | Consolidated Recap of GS Positioning Metrics
The week of May 19–23 promises to be pivotal for global markets. In the U.S., investors will closely watch PMI data and speeches from key Federal Reserve officials for clues on the future path of interest rates—especially after April’s persistent inflation and the easing of recession fears following a surprising U.S.-China trade truce. Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of Australia’s rate decision, along with economic reports from China, Canada, and Japan, will provide regional direction. In the UK, inflation and retail sales could reshape expectations for further Bank of England cuts, while eurozone PMIs will test the ECB’s cautious stance.
By EBC
The pound trimmed gains Tuesday after Britain and the EU agreed on a major trade and defense deal; the weak dollar eyed trade talks.
By EBC
EBC says cooling US CPI could shift Fed policy, stirring FX volatility—traders must focus on interpretation, not just the headline figure.
Daily Market Outlook, May 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill Group Munnelly’s Macro Minute…
By EBC
​EBC's Million Dollar Trading Challenge heats up as @Yiwangwuqian leads with \$620K, while @forexwatchbrother closes in fast. Final showdown nears!
By EBC
On May 19, the dollar eased in early Asian trade as markets reacted to weakened US assets; April retail sales showed fading pre-tariff buying momentum.
US statistics produced a shocking dive in producer prices, with everyone guessing how strong the upward spurt might be. Producer prices for April fell 0.5% after 0.0% a month earlier. March’s value was heavily revised upward from -0.4%.
By Naga
Markets wrapped up the week with a cautious but upbeat vibe. Traders saw a mix of signals — inflation worries stuck around, but so did signs of global stability. The result? A market mood that’s leaning more hopeful than fearful.
By Octa
- AUD/USD stays above the key support level of 0.6400, while the US Dollar trades with caution - The RBA is expected to lower its OCR by 25 bps to 3.85% on Tuesday. - Investors await the preliminary US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index data for May.
By EBC
European shares closed higher Thursday, led by industrials. Despite the new trade truce, uncertainty still clouds European firms' outlook.
By EBC
EBC trading heats up: @Yiwangwuqian gains $80K shorting yen, @forexwatchbrother tops \$500K, and @King001 leaps to third place.
By EBC
On May 15, 2025, EBC's Trading Challenge saw huge gains as one trader made $544K in a day, with others profiting from gold’s sharp drop.
Oil prices are under pressure again as traders react to shifting global dynamics, from renewed nuclear talks with Iran to growing concerns about the health of major economies. After a brief period of optimism, market sentiment has turned cautious, with geopolitical risks and central bank signals now shaping the outlook. This shift has prompted a closer look at both the technical and fundamental landscape driving oil’s next move.
Daily Market Outlook, May 15, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill Group Munnelly’s Macro Minute…
By EBC
Oil prices fell nearly $1 early Thursday on hopes for an Iran nuclear deal and a surprise rise in US crude stocks, raising oversupply fears.
By EBC
Learn how to spot and avoid fake MT4 platforms that mimic real trading environments but disconnect you from live markets and compromise your funds.
By EBC
S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 rose for a second day as cooling inflation and easing US-China trade tensions boosted investor optimism.
By EBC
On May 14, EBC’s trading challenge saw intense action, with top trader @Wolaiole earning over $230K. Skill and patience drive success.
By EBC
On May 13, @Wolaiole hit \$200K in EBC’s challenge. Gold plunged $200. @zfl888 and @jidljis stayed flat, showing sharp, high-return tactics.
By EBC
Week 10 of EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge II saw volatility, strategic shifts, and bold comebacks, as traders adapted and made their moves towards the top.
Equity Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities | 12 May 2025 | Below is a recap of the GS positioning metrics:
By EBC
EBC examines the growing policy divide among major central banks, focusing on how these shifts are reshaping trader strategies and market sentiment worldwide.
Gold prices have come under heavy selling pressure today amidst a rise in risk appetite in response to news of tariff reductions between the US and China. Following two days of talks over the weekend, the two sides agreed a 90-day window of tariff reductions to allow for further negotiations aimed at securing a new trade deal.
The handover of risk into the new trading week is positive, and US equity futures will start the week reacting to the US-China weekend meeting on a solid footing, and as such, I remain skewed for higher levels through the week ahead in DM equity indices. Momentum is the tactical strategy to play, and at least for now I take the stance of buying into strength in the US500, NKY225, NAS100, AUS200, GER40, or HK50, for a continuation of the bull trend in place from the April lows.
By EBC
The Australian dollar rose after US-China weekend talks announced a trade deal. Though details are unclear, any easing may boost sentiment.
Moneta Markets Daily Global Market Update – 12th May, 2025 Trade Deal Optimism Surges: May 12, 2025 Global financial markets on May 12, 2025, are buoyed by optimism surrounding a US-China trade deal, though uncertainties over tariff reductions temper gains. Gold drops to a one-week low near $3,253, while EUR/USD holds above 1.1200, awaiting trade deal details. AUD/USD rises on trade optimism, and USD/JPY remains firm as JPY weakens. WTI crude nears $61.00, supported by eased demand concerns but capped by OPEC+ output plans. US inflation data and Fed Chair Powell’s Thursday appearance are key catalysts this week. Gold Drops to One-Week Low Current Level: Gold (XAU/USD) trades near $3,253, down to a one-week low. Market Dynamics: US-China trade deal optimism (Switzerland talks) and easing US recession fears reduce safe-haven demand, pressuring gold. A firm USD (DXY at 100.60) post-Fed’s hawkish pause (rates at 4.25%-4.50%) adds headwinds. Geopolitical risks (Russia-Ukraine talks, Middle East tensions, India-Pakistan clashes) limit losses, with traders awaiting the US-China joint statement. US inflation data and Powell’s speech (Thursday) are critical. Technical Outlook: Support at $3,252; resistance at $3,317. Bearish oscillators suggest downside, with a break below $3,200 targeting monthly lows. EUR/USD Holds Above 1.1200 Current Level: EUR/USD trades near 1.1210, above a one-month low. Key Drivers: Modest USD strength and US-China trade optimism weigh on EUR, but ECB’s June rate-cut bets (25 bps) and Eurozone PMI stability provide support. Geopolitical risks and trade deal uncertainties limit losses. Technical breakdown below 100-period SMA signals bearish bias, with US inflation data (Tuesday) and Powell’s comments key. Technical Outlook: Support at 1.1200 (200-period SMA); resistance at 1.1250. Bearish oscillators favor downside, with 1.1100 in sight if 1.1200 breaks. AUD/USD Advances to 0.6420 Current Level: AUD/USD trades near 0.6420, building momentum. Market Dynamics: US-China trade deal progress (Bessent and He Lifeng’s “substantial progress”) boosts AUD, given Australia’s trade ties with China. Weaker USD (DXY at 100.60) supports gains, despite China’s CPI decline (-0.1% YoY) and PPI contraction (-2.7% YoY). RBA rate-cut bets for May and upcoming Westpac Consumer Confidence (Tuesday) influence sentiment. Technical Outlook: Resistance at 0.6515; support at 0.6420 (nine-day EMA). RSI above 50 signals bullish bias, with trade statement as a catalyst. USD/JPY Firm Near 146.00 Current Level: USD/JPY trades near 145.80, steady above 145.55. Influencing Factors: JPY weakens as US-China trade optimism (joint statement awaited) reduces safe-haven demand. USD strength from Fed’s hawkish stance and Japan’s mixed data (Household Spending +2.1% YoY, real wages -2.1%) support USD/JPY. BoJ rate-hike bets for 2025 limit JPY losses, with US inflation data key. Technical View: Resistance at 146.80; support at 145.55 (50% Fibonacci). Bullish oscillators favor upside, with 147.00 as the next target. WTI Nears Two-Week High at $61.00 Current Level: WTI crude trades near $60.90, just below $61.00. Key Drivers: US-China trade deal optimism eases demand concerns, boosting prices after a 2.032 million barrel US inventory drawdown. OPEC+ output hike plans and USD strength cap gains. Geopolitical risks (Middle East, India-Pakistan) and US sanctions on Chinese refiners support prices. US inflation data (Tuesday) will influence USD and oil. Technical Outlook: Resistance at $61.00; support at $59.80. RSI neutral, with trade deal details critical. Economic Data and Fed Focus Today’s Data: US-China joint trade statement (Geneva) is the focal point, with details on tariff reductions (US 145%, China 125%) driving risk sentiment. Australian Westpac Consumer Confidence and NAB Business Conditions (Tuesday) will impact AUD. US Inflation and Powell: US CPI (Tuesday), Retail Sales, and PPI (Thursday) will shape Fed rate-cut expectations (July favored). Powell’s Thursday appearance will clarify tariff impacts and policy stance. China Data: Weak CPI (-0.1% YoY) and PPI (-2.7% YoY) signal deflationary pressures, while a $96.18 billion trade surplus (April) reflects slower export growth (8.1% YoY), pressuring AUD and NZD. US-China Trade Deal and Geopolitical Risks Trade Status: US-China talks achieved “substantial progress” (Bessent, He Lifeng), with a joint statement due today. No tariff cuts (US 145%, China 125%) were confirmed, tempering optimism. US-UK deal (10% tariffs) and potential 50% China tariff cuts next week lift sentiment. Commerce Secretary Lutnick signals more deals soon. Geopolitical Tensions: Russia-Ukraine talks (May 15), Hamas hostage release plans, and India-Pakistan border clashes maintain safe-haven demand for gold and JPY, despite trade optimism. Outlook On May 12, 2025, markets are driven by US-China trade deal optimism, lifting AUD/USD (0.6420) and WTI ($60.90), while gold ($3,253) and EUR/USD (1.1210) face pressure from a firm USD (DXY at 100.60). USD/JPY holds near 146.00 as JPY weakens. The US-China joint statement, US inflation data, and Powell’s speech will shape volatility, with geopolitical risks and trade uncertainties keeping investors cautious. Stay tuned for further updates.
By EBC
On May 9, 2025, EBC’s Trading Challenge saw @forexwatchbrother earn \$380K, @Wolaiole top \$100K, and @jidljis post steady gains.
By EBC
Sterling rallied on trade deal hopes but fell to a three-week low of 1.3220 Friday after the agreement proved limited.
By EBC
EBC’s collaboration with IUU focuses on empowering Mongolian youth with internships, real-world finance experience, and career opportunities to shape global leaders.
By EBC
The Trump administration plans to revise Biden-era decommissioning rules to address peak U.S. shale oil production and falling prices.
By EBC
Gold rose over 1% Thursday after Fed Chair Powell's cautious economic remarks; U.S. trade deficit hit record high in March on rising imports.
By EBC
On May 8, 2025, in EBC’s Challenge, @songqiantongzi nears \$200K profit, while @jidljis and @zfl888 post 65x and 55x returns.
By EBC
The euro eased Wednesday after Germany elected Merz chancellor—marking the first post-WWII candidate to lose in the first round.
Market capitalisation rose 1.7% in the last 24 hours to $2.98 trillion, approaching the upper end of the consolidation range where the market has been hovering for almost two weeks. The previous consolidation in April took about the same amount of time before the last move up. Rest after the rise may favour further growth.
By Octa
- USD/CAD moves slightly higher to near 1.3800 ahead of the Fed’s monetary policy decision. - The Fed is expected to keep borrowing rates steady in the range of 4.25%-4.50%. - Investors await the Canadian employment data for April, which will be released on Friday.
Global markets are showing signs of a cautious recovery as investors focus on trade talks between the US and China, along with upcoming central bank decisions. While policy signals from China and hopes for better dialogue offer some optimism, uncertainty around interest rates and global tensions is keeping many traders in wait-and-see mode.
By EBC
On May 7, gold spiked past \$3,400 in EBC’s Challenge II. Top traders hit 50x+ returns, with @jidljis earning \$7K and leading copy trading.
By EBC
Week 9 of EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge II saw volatility drive opportunities, new leaders rise, and copy trading activity surge, with impressive profits and strategies.
By EBC
As of May 6, 2025, EBC’s Million Dollar Trading Challenge II sees @forexwatchbrother under pressure, @zfl888 at 43x, and @jidljis in second.
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