The US Dollar strengthened as safe-haven demand and firmer yields lifted the greenback. Silver eased below $48.50, oil steadied near $61.50 after OPEC+’s modest hike, and the yen weakened to multi-month lows. With shutdown uncertainty and key US data ahead, traders remain cautious across commodities and FX.
US stock indices fell in trading yesterday as the government shutdown continued with no sign of a resolution.
The crypto market capitalisation lost almost 3% in 24 hours, hitting a sell-off after a surge to historic highs at the start of the week.
At 08:00 (GMT+2), Germany will release August industrial production data, which tracks changes in the volume of goods and utilities produced in the country. The calculation considers the manufacturing and mining industries, as well as the electric power industry. It may change from 1.3% to –1.0% MoM, putting pressure on the euro.
- Gold price refreshes all-time high near $4,050 amid French political crisis.
- US President Trump warns of eliminating government programs and lay-offs amid shutdown.
- Investors await FOMC minutes for fresh cues on the monetary policy outlook.
The US Dollar strengthened as safe-haven demand and firmer yields lifted the greenback. Silver eased below $48.50, oil steadied near $61.50 after OPEC+’s modest hike, and the yen weakened to multi-month lows. With shutdown uncertainty and key US data ahead, traders remain cautious across commodities and FX.
The US Dollar rebounds, pressuring gold below $1,950 and weighing on risk assets. AUD/USD holds near 0.6480 ahead of key CPI data, while EUR/USD slips toward 1.1630 amid French political uncertainty. USD/JPY trades above 147.50 but faces upside limits on Fed policy concerns. USD/CNY steady near 7.11 as PBOC defends yuan. Markets eye CPI and jobs data for next moves.
The question isn’t whether altcoin season will happen. It’s when. Every major crypto cycle begins the same way: Bitcoin (BTC) leads, stabilises, and hands the rally baton to smaller coins.
Get a complete weekly market recap: stocks, commodities, and forex moves, with the U.S. jobs report and Fed/ECB commentary driving investor sentiment.
Gold surged past $3,900 and silver above $48.50, hitting decade highs as US political gridlock and dovish Fed expectations fueled safe-haven demand. Oil steadied near $62 after OPEC+’s modest hike, while major FX pairs stayed rangebound ahead of key data and policy signals.
The US shutdown dragged on, weighing on the Dollar below 98.00 and fueling cautious trading across FX. Gold and silver eased but stayed supported by safe-haven demand, while USD/JPY softened and AUD consolidated. With fiscal risks, Fed signals, and global data ahead, volatility remains elevated.
The Dollar steadied as shutdown risks and central bank signals kept markets cautious. DXY held near 97.70–97.75, EUR/USD climbed above 1.1700, GBP/USD hovered at 1.3500, and USD/CHF consolidated around 0.7960. EUR/JPY rebounded from support, while broader FX stayed rangebound. Traders now focus on U.S. inflation, jobs, Eurozone data, and Swiss CPI for direction.
Markets ended the third quarter on a high, defying September’s usual weakness. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq posted their best Q3 since 2020 and strongest September since 2010, while the Dow hit a record high and the Russell 2000 notched its best Q3 since 2009 as the Fed began cutting rates.
Oil steadies near $62 as OPEC+ denies output hike speculation, while FX pairs diverge. USD/CAD holds above 1.3900, EUR/USD capped below 1.1800, NZD/USD pressured under 0.5800, and USD/JPY consolidates above 148.00 with upside limited by BoJ uncertainty. Shutdown risks, Fed signals, and China data keep traders cautious.
Silver hovers near 2011 highs as safe-haven demand climbs, while FX markets diverge. USD/CAD stays above 1.3900 on shutdown risks, USD/CNY edges lower after PBOC guidance, and USD/JPY strengthens as BoJ remains dovish. Traders eye US PCE data, Fed signals, and global policy shifts as key catalysts for the next move.
The stage is set for a high-stakes showdown in Washington as the Supreme Court prepares to hear arguments in November on whether President Trump overstepped his authority by imposing emergency tariffs through the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
Discover the top 3 economic events driving markets Sep 30–Oct 4, 2025. NFP, RBA rate decision, and ISM PMI—what traders need to know this week
Gold soars near record highs as soft U.S. PCE data boosts Fed rate cut bets and weakens the Dollar. Oil edges higher toward $64, GBP/USD holds above 1.3400, AUD/USD steadies above 0.6500, and NZD/USD climbs past 0.5750. Shutdown risks weigh on USD, with traders watching Fed commentary and fresh data for next direction.
Global Markets - News & Data - Markets Update - Upcoming events
Fed Governor Stephen Miran made headlines yesterday in an interview on Bloomberg and essentially doubled down on his dovish stance.
Global FX holds cautious ahead of US PCE data. Trump’s 100% pharma tariff boosts USD safe-haven demand, while PBOC’s softer fix signals yuan weakness. NZD slides toward 0.5750, JPY struggles above 151 as soft CPI weighs, and USD/CAD steadies near 1.3950 on weak oil. Markets eye inflation, Fed signals, and trade risks for the next move.
Gold holds below $3,750, silver consolidates near $44.00 highs. NZD/USD weakens after Powell’s cautious stance, while AUD/USD finds support as RBA cut bets fade. USD/CNY fix signals steady PBOC policy. Markets await US data and central bank speeches, keeping sentiment cautious with metals elevated and FX moves tied to Fed and RBA outlooks.
Markets remain cautious as Powell’s speech leaves Fed easing uncertain. Gold steadies near $3,750, AUD/USD and GBP/USD react to CPI and UK PMI, while USD/CAD stays supported by weak oil. NZD/USD holds above 0.5850. Traders await US data for direction amid mixed risk sentiment and central bank signals.
Stay ahead of the markets! Learn which economic reports—from US inflation to global PMIs—are set to move markets this week and why they matter.
Nvidia (NVDA) shares jumped about 4% Monday after announcing plans to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI.
Global Markets:
- Asian Stock Markets : Nikkei up 0.99%, Shanghai Composite down -1.18%, Hang Seng down -1.02% ASX up 0.45%
- Commodities : Gold at $3,781.47 (0.17%), Silver at $44.308 (0.21%), Brent Oil at $66.24 (-0.50%), WTI Oil at $61.99 (-0.47%)
- Rates : US 10-year yield at 4.145, UK 10-year yield at 4.7110, Germany 10-year yield at 2.7481
- Gold extends its record run, hitting a fresh all-time high of $3,791 on Tuesday.
- Fed officials struck a cautious tone on further cuts on Monday, although Governor Stephen Miran called for deeper 50 bps moves.
- Traders now await Fed Chair Powell’s speech later on Tuesday for fresh monetary policy cues.
WTI crude slipped below $63.50 on oversupply worries, weighing on CAD near 1.3850. NZD/USD firmed above 0.5850 ahead of Powell’s speech and US PMI, while AUD stayed weak after soft PMI. USD/CNY held steady under PBOC control. Markets eye US data and Fed guidance for the next move.
Gold hit three dozen record highs in 2025 and exceeded $3700 per ounce for the first time in history.
Key Events This Week
The week begins in Australia, where RBA Governor Michele Bullock is due to speak on Monday, 22 September.
Silver surged past $43.00 to 14-year highs, while gold steadied above $3,650 on Fed easing bets. Oil climbed above $63.20 amid geopolitical risks, AUD regained footing after RBA’s cautious tone, and EUR/USD slipped toward 1.1700 ahead of Eurozone confidence data. Central bank guidance remains the key driver this week.
The Yen surged after the BoJ’s policy decision, driving GBP/JPY, EUR/JPY, and AUD/JPY lower. Gold eased below $3,650 on USD strength, while silver held firm near $42 on Fed cut bets. Markets remain focused on BoJ signals, Fed guidance, and key U.S. data to set the next move in FX and metals.
The US tech sector has been a driving force behind much of the stock market’s post-pandemic recovery, with the Nasdaq outperforming global indices thanks to gains from the major tech giants.
EURJPY currency pair recently reversed down from the resistance zone between the resistance levels 173.65
At 13:00 (GMT+2), the Bank of England will hold a monetary policy meeting
US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade in a range of 146.30/147.35. In the longer run, downward momentum has slowed, but there is a slim chance for USD to revisit the 145.45 level, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
We have quite a busy slate of event risk to get our teeth into this week. In addition to the Jackson Hole Symposium, an update from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) and the minutes from the previous US Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting claim some of the limelight, as well as inflation data, and manufacturing and services S&P Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes).
Global markets trade cautiously ahead of the BoE decision, with GBP/USD near 1.3600 and EUR/GBP below 0.8700. Gold pulls back from $3,700, silver slips under $41.50, and WTI holds a bearish tone near $62. Currencies and commodities remain data-driven, with central bank guidance set to dictate the next move.
Markets traded cautiously Wednesday as traders awaited the Fed’s rate decision. EUR/USD slipped near 1.1850, NZD/USD retreated below 0.6000, and AUD/USD stayed subdued. WTI crude came under renewed pressure, while UK CPI eased slightly to 3.8%, keeping BoE policy in focus. Volatility is expected to rise as Fed, ECB, and BoE updates drive direction across FX and commodities.
Gold surged near record highs on Fed cut bets, while the dollar traded mixed. GBP/USD steadied ahead of UK jobs data, and USD/JPY slipped as BoJ rate hike expectations boosted the yen. AUD/USD weakened on China concerns despite a softer USD, while USD/CAD fell with oil-driven CAD strength. Traders eye Fed, BoJ, and UK labor data for direction.
We look ahead to what will be a packed week of macro event risk, with Wednesday’s FOMC meeting the clear highlight. The market would be surprised if we saw any outcome other than a 25bp cut from the Fed, even if several Fed governors do vote for a 50bp cut (depending on Steven Miran’s appointment passing a Senate vote). Attention will quickly turn to the tone of the FOMC statement, the guidance from Powell’s press conference, and the updated set of ‘Dots,’ and how these reconcile to the cumulative pricing of further rate cuts in the USD interest rate swaps curve.
Catch up on this week’s market action: tech-led stock rallies, oil rebounds, gold near highs, and FX shifts. See how geopolitical tensions and Fed moves impact traders.
Markets steadied as traders await the Fed’s policy decision. Silver extended gains above $42 on safe-haven demand, while EUR/USD and GBP/USD held near key levels. WTI crude hovered around $62.70, capped by oversupply concerns despite geopolitical support. AUD/USD found footing as bets on further RBA cuts eased. All eyes now turn to the Fed for direction.
Oil slumped below $62 on demand worries, while the USD strengthened, pressuring NZD, AUD, and CAD. USD/JPY held steady after the U.S.–Japan FX stability pact. Traders eye U.S. Michigan Sentiment data for fresh Fed cues, with risks skewed to USD resilience and further commodity weakness.
Markets await the US CPI release, with expectations of rising inflation amid tariffs. The dollar remains rangebound, gold nears $3,650, and silver hovers above $41 on safe-haven flows. GBP/USD and AUD/USD consolidate as traders weigh Fed rate cut bets. CPI outcomes will likely dictate near-term FX and precious metal moves.
- NZD/USD advances to near 0.6000 as the NZ Dollar capitalizes on an upbeat market mood.
- Inflation in China declined at a faster-than-expected pace in August.
- Investors await key US PPI data for August.
Robinhood (HOOD) shares jumped over 15% Monday to a record high after news it will join the S&P 500 (^GSPC) on Sept. 22.
At 03:30 (GMT+2), in China, August data on the Consumer Price Index will be published
Gold regained strength near $3,620 as Fed rate cut bets and safe-haven demand supported precious metals, while silver edged toward $41.00. The US Dollar Index stayed capped below 98.00 after weak NFP revisions, with EUR/USD slipping to 1.1700. AUD/USD held above 0.6650 on firmer commodities. Traders now eye U.S. CPI/PPI data and Fed guidance to set the next market direction.
The dollar slid below 97.50 on Fed cut bets, lifting silver near $41.50, oil above $62, and supporting commodities. USD/JPY held near 147.00 despite Japan’s tariff relief, while the Nikkei consolidated after profit-taking. Markets remain data-driven, with U.S. CPI and Fed signals set to dictate the next move.