Trader’s Week Ahead: Markets React to US-China Progress & CPI Data
The handover of risk into the new trading week is positive, and US equity futures will start the week reacting to the US-China weekend meeting on a solid footing, and as such, I remain skewed for higher levels through the week ahead in DM equity indices. Momentum is the tactical strategy to play, and at least for now I take the stance of buying into strength in the US500, NKY225, NAS100, AUS200, GER40, or HK50, for a continuation of the bull trend in place from the April lows.
A Market Trading On Hope Not Reality
Stocks notched a fourth straight advance on Friday as trade hopes grew, as Treasuries and the dollar also extended recent gains. This week, a jam-packed calendar awaits.
The Future Of Fed Independence Looks Bleak
President Trump’s ongoing rhetoric challenging Fed independence may just be the start, as efforts to remove Chair Powell apparently ramp up, and the choice of his successor next May looms large.
Sentiment Sours Again As Uneasy Calm Shattered
Stocks rolled over once more yesterday as the dollar also faced headwinds, and gold notched new ATHs, amid a renewed souring in sentiment. Today, a busy calendar awaits on both sides of the Atlantic.
By Michael Brown, Senior Research Strategist
What Goes Up Must Come Down
by Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist
Markets gave back most of Wednesday’s exuberance yesterday, as stocks slumped, and the dollar weakened, though Treasuries sold-off further. Today, UK GDP & US consumer sentiment highlight the docket.
Trading Gold: Navigating the Tariff Storm and Market Volatility
Gold remains not just the best-performing asset class in 2025 – certainly on a risk-adjusted basis – but is also the more obvious buy-on-dips play from investment managers and swing CFD traders.
Week Ahead Playbook: Markets Play Defence Ahead Of Central Bank Bonanza
The S&P slumped into a correction last week as trade policy uncertainty remained elevated, and worries over the US economy persisted. This week, a central bank bonanza, and a busy data docket, await.
Market volatility persists as US CPI and trade turmoil take centre stage
Markets were again choppy yesterday amid a barrage of contradictory headlines from the Oval Office. Today, last month’s US CPI figures stand as the data highlight.
Sentiment Stays Shaky As US Data Disappoints Again
Sentiment remained sour to start the week as US data continued to disappoint, denting stocks and the dollar, but sparking haven demand for Treasuries. Today, a quiet docket awaits.
Gold price chart analysis: will a breakout happen this week?
Gold at a crossroads: range-bound or breakout ahead?
Sentiment Sours As US Exceptionalism Looks More Fragile
Stocks slumped and havens rallied as the week wrapped up on Friday amid jitters over US economic outperformance, while another quiet data docket awaits this week, with Nvidia earnings in focus.
Trader Thoughts - Trump's Tariffs on Columbia increase the Prospect of Further Selling Pressure in C
by Chris Weston, Head of Research
Week Ahead Playbook: Trump-Watching Gives Way To A Risk Event Bonanza
President Trump’s first week in office left market participants largely unperturbed, though the week ahead brings not only another spell of headline-watching, but also a busy calendar of policy decisions, and corporate earnings.
It’s All Getting A Little Ugly
Daily Market Thoughts - by Michael Brown, Senior Resea
China In Focus, In More Ways Than One
by Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist
China was in the headlines yesterday, both amid rising stimulus expectations, and an apparent investigation into Nvidia. Today, a quiet docket awaits.
The Best Run Of The Year (So Far!)
Stocks notched a sixth straight weekly gain last week, the best run of the year so far, while gold ran to a new record high, as the dollar remains firm. A quiet docket lies ahead today.
Jobless Claims Overshadows CPI
Soft, albeit weather-distorted, jobless claims stole the limelight from a hot CPI print yesterday, with choppy trade seen across the board. Today, a busy docket awaits, as Q3 earnings season gets underway.
September 2024 US CPI: Hotter Data Shan’t Deter FOMC From November Cut
by Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist
Market Thoughts – Wednesday 11th September – Conviction Lacking As CPI Looms
by Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist - 11 Sept 2024
Market Thoughts – Tuesday 3rd September – The Week Starts Now
by Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist
3 Sept 2024
August 2024 BoE Review: A Cautious Cut, More On The Way
By Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist
Macro Trader: Hawkish Fed Repricing Has Run Too Far
By Michael Brown - Senior Research Strategist
While futures, and rates markets, have repriced significantly since the March CPI report, it appears that said hawkish repricing has likely now run too far, too fast, particularly with options now even seeing a modest chance of a Fed hike by the end of the year.
China’s Q1 growth beat consensus, why aren’t Chinese assets ascending?
By Dilin Wu, Research Strategist
USDCNH Above 7.2: Is the PBoC Ready to Take Action?
The CNH has continue to soften recently, with USDCNH now trading north of the psychologically key 7.2 level, posing the question of whether the PBoC may be ready to take firmer action to prop up the currency.