Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD steadies near $28 with US Inflation in focus
Silver price (XAG/USD) edges higher above $28.00 in Monday’s European session. The white metal trades in a tight range, with the downside remaining supported near $27.70. The upside in the Silver price remains restricted as the US Dollar (USD) and bond yields perform strongly as traders pare bets supporting the Federal Reserve (Fed) to start the policy-easing process aggressively this month.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against six major currencies, surges to near 101.70. 10-year US Treasury yields soar to 3.75%. Historically, higher yields on interest-bearing assets ceil Silver’s upside, given that it increases the opportunity cost of holding an investment in non-yielding assets, such as Silver.
The US Dollar and bond yields strengthened after the release of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August, which indicated that current labor market health is not as bad as it appeared from the official employment data of July.
Meanwhile, investors shift focus on the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for August, which will be published on Wednesday. The consumer inflation report is expected to show that monthly both headline and core CPI- which excludes food and energy prices- are estimated to have grown steadily by 0.2%. Annual headline CPI is expected to have decelerated sharply to 2.6% from July’s reading of 2.9%.
Silver technical analysis
Silver price trades in a Channel formation on a daily timeframe, which is slightly sloping downwards. The asset recovers sharply and attempts to break above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which trades around $28.68.
The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) oscillates inside the 40.00-60.00 range, suggesting a consolidation ahead.
Silver daily chart
Publication date:
2024-09-09 13:17:39 (GMT)