EBC Markets Briefing | Gold ticks up with budget deadlock
Gold prices rose on Wednesday to their highest levels in a week on increasing safety demand amid US fiscal uncertainty. Trump is ramping up pressure on Republicans to support his centrepiece budget plan.
Key House Republicans from blue states are opposed to the tax bill, which they say does not do enough to boost so-called SALT deductions for their constituents.
Currency options traders are now more pessimistic than they have ever been about the dollar's path over the next year, according to one commonly-cited measure of investor sentiment.
One-year risk reversals fell to minus 27 bps in favour of puts over calls for a proxy of Bloomberg's dollar gauge, surpassing even a level briefly hit at the outset of a pandemic five years ago.
Likewise, traders now hold some $16.5 billion in short dollar positions, near the most bearish since September, according to the CFTC data through May 13 aggregated by Bloomberg.
The PBoC expanded gold reserves for a sixth straight month in April, adding 2.2 metric tons to its gold holding. The WGC said Chinese investor interest in gold futures reached unseen levels in April.
Bullion's rally continues after it bottomed out in mid-May. The risk is tilted towards the upside with a push above $3,260, and we see it rise towards $3,315.
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Publication date:
2025-05-21 10:23:34 (GMT)
