EBC Markets Briefing | Gold holds ground with tariffs in view
Gold prices traded above $3,100 on Tuesday amid strong upside momentum, as uncertainty around tariffs that would stoke inflation and hinder economic growth lifted safe-haven demand.
The White House confirmed that Trump will impose new tariffs on Wednesday, though it provided no details about the size and scope of trade barriers. Other countries have threatened countermeasures.
Bullion has gained around 19% so far this year, after rising more than 27% in 2024, supported by a favourable monetary policy backdrop, robust central bank buying and demand for ETF.
BofA has raised its gold period average forecasts for this year and next to $3,063 and $3,350. It noted that central banks currently hold about 10% of their reserves in gold, and could raise this figure to over 30%.
However, the bank added that US fiscal consolidation, reduced geopolitical tensions, and a return to collaborative inter-governmental relations, including more targeted tariffs, are key risks to bullion's rally.
Goldman Sachs also raised its forecast range to $3,250-$3,520 from $3,100-$3,300 earlier, according to its research note. It expects large Asian banks to continue aggressive gold purchases in the years ahead.
Bullion's RSI stands well above 70, indicating the market is overbought. Therefore, it could retest $3,150 before a moderate pullback towards $3,100.
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Publication date:
2025-04-02 10:09:06 (GMT)
